The Astonishing Rich Vein of Form Drives The Villans' Unlikely Championship Bid
It was eight weeks ago when the young forward found himself on the pitch at Sunderland, appearing bewildered while Unai Emery scolded him over failing to anticipate a pass in behind. During that period, as Villa failed to win in six, it wasn't clear if Rogers' form were a symptom or a cause of Villa's wider issues.
“Following Rogers' second strike… Emery discarded his jacket, extended his arms, and let out a triumphant roar.”
In the latest match, in contrast, the touchline reaction was entirely far more favourable. When the England international swept in his second to reclaim Villa's lead, the Spanish tactician ripped off his coat, threw his arms wide and bellowed. Villa were on their way to a 10th successive win and after failing to win their opening six matches, are somehow a mere three points off pace-setters Arsenal.
Is Aston Villa Legitimate Challengers?
That’s a particularly tough query to address. History, the perceived status of the club, argues against it. Moreover, their performances haven't been wholly dominant in many games, despite the fact the victories have stacked up.
Per statistical analysis, in only two games has the side registered an expected goals figure significantly higher than the other team. For a team which has just won ten consecutive victories, the Villans look strangely fragile – however right now the fine lines are swinging for them.
The Winning Formula
The prevailing tactic appears to be to exchange chances with rivals and then rely on Rogers to rescue them with two crisp finishes. This was the case away to Leeds, it happened in London, and once more versus Manchester United.
His opener originated from an exquisite effort, arced precisely inside the post from a wide position. For his second was essentially a slight scruffier version of his first as he seized on a setup by his strike partner.
“Perhaps Rogers’ right foot is becoming like Arjen Robben’s left: just because you know he’s going to whip the ball into the top corner doesn’t mean you can stop him.”
Is It Sustainable?
Common sense dictates no. During the latest victory, the opponents had more efforts and more direct attempts. Villa have secured their last eight victories by a single goal. They have allowed goals in all but one of those fixtures.
A statistical correction might be the most significant challenge they have to face in the near future. Their key man, almost certainly, will not continue to drilling the football past despairing goalkeepers forever.
Potential for Growth
Maybe there exists another reality in which, instead of luck running out, performances begin to trend towards results. Vital cogs may yet return to peak condition.
- Ollie Watkins may begin to adding to his goal tally.
- The winger could transform into the player he showed during his peak.
- The injured centre-backs are set to regain fitness, strengthening an occasionally vulnerable defensive unit.
This could contain the seeds of a title challenge, however, it is improbable can continue to depend solely on one man.
Enjoying the Ride
However, this was unforeseen. Few believed the team would be third at Christmas. And certainly back in October, nobody thought Rogers as the year closed would be leading a title charge and appearing as a vital player for the national team.
This remarkable period is to be savoured precisely because it feels so unlikely. As Rogers positioned himself before the North End when the game ended leading the celebrations, he appeared to be loving the experience. As he deserves to. Such periods are uncommon in the sport and ought to be celebrated.